Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.197647 0.225007 0.254375 0.288194 0.326015 0.366957 0.414582
2025-11-30 0.162962 0.199914 0.242232 0.294106 0.355791 0.426600 0.513832
2025-12-07 0.135506 0.177474 0.228323 0.294086 0.376466 0.475791 0.604107
2025-12-14 0.114933 0.159675 0.216686 0.294007 0.395380 0.522918 0.694543
2025-12-21 0.099284 0.145568 0.207307 0.294691 0.414002 0.569848 0.787187
2025-12-28 0.088012 0.135563 0.201687 0.298950 0.436656 0.622615 0.890226
2026-01-04 0.079699 0.128460 0.198905 0.306213 0.463191 0.681586 1.004783
2026-01-11 0.071523 0.120398 0.193613 0.308889 0.482772 0.731491 1.109210
2026-01-18 0.065234 0.114367 0.190501 0.314093 0.505849 0.787172 1.224568
2026-01-25 0.060596 0.110349 0.189903 0.322746 0.534260 0.851829 1.356242
2026-02-01 0.054583 0.103289 0.183671 0.321743 0.547308 0.893810 1.455872
2026-02-08 0.049315 0.096855 0.177742 0.320493 0.559488 0.934667 1.555440
2026-02-15 0.044363 0.090570 0.171712 0.318968 0.571773 0.977500 1.662475
2026-02-22 0.041298 0.087389 0.170719 0.325857 0.598356 1.044536 1.811622
2026-03-01 0.037581 0.082506 0.166181 0.326064 0.613464 1.093627 1.934319
2026-03-08 0.034261 0.077982 0.161819 0.326103 0.628088 1.142494 2.059000
2026-03-15 0.031400 0.074028 0.158107 0.326923 0.643962 1.194101 2.190687
2026-03-22 0.029277 0.071355 0.156581 0.331640 0.667032 1.259099 2.348232
2026-03-29 0.027694 0.069654 0.156789 0.339635 0.696536 1.336713 2.531224
2026-04-05 0.025748 0.066894 0.154562 0.342586 0.716623 1.398492 2.689230
2026-04-12 0.024231 0.064927 0.153776 0.348306 0.742251 1.471393 2.870292
2026-04-19 0.023156 0.063876 0.154823 0.357807 0.775733 1.560180 3.083944
2026-04-26 0.021312 0.060714 0.150967 0.356708 0.788069 1.610246 3.229007